Pre-tourney Rankings
Montana St.
Big Sky
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.7#241
Expected Predictive Rating-5.3#250
Pace73.7#68
Improvement+4.2#29

Offense
Total Offense+2.7#103
First Shot+3.6#75
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#235
Layup/Dunks-2.9#281
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#173
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#35
Freethrows+1.6#62
Improvement+4.8#13

Defense
Total Defense-7.4#340
First Shot-7.0#346
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#229
Layups/Dunks-1.8#258
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#231
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.0#347
Freethrows+1.3#83
Improvement-0.6#214
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.00.0 - 0.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 3.00.0 - 3.0
Quad 20.0 - 1.00.0 - 4.0
Quad 31.0 - 5.01.0 - 9.0
Quad 413.0 - 8.014.0 - 17.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 37   Utah St. L 71-101 12%     0 - 1 -21.7 -4.8 -14.1
  Nov 09, 2018 39   @ Indiana L 35-80 5%     0 - 2 -31.1 -30.6 +0.7
  Nov 14, 2018 163   @ Colorado St. L 77-81 25%     0 - 3 -1.5 +2.3 -3.8
  Nov 17, 2018 170   @ UC Santa Barbara L 69-88 26%     0 - 4 -16.9 +3.7 -22.5
  Nov 21, 2018 52   @ Arkansas L 68-90 7%     0 - 5 -10.0 -5.1 -2.7
  Nov 24, 2018 162   @ Nebraska Omaha L 65-89 24%     0 - 6 -21.4 -9.9 -11.7
  Nov 27, 2018 258   North Dakota W 81-76 64%     1 - 6 -3.5 +1.9 -5.6
  Dec 09, 2018 205   Washington St. W 95-90 42%     2 - 6 +2.4 +5.4 -3.7
  Dec 18, 2018 304   @ Denver L 64-76 54%     2 - 7 -17.8 -13.3 -4.5
  Dec 29, 2018 280   @ Southern Utah W 92-62 47%     3 - 7 1 - 0 +26.0 +15.5 +9.5
  Dec 31, 2018 300   @ Northern Arizona L 68-74 53%     3 - 8 1 - 1 -11.4 -8.9 -2.4
  Jan 03, 2019 275   Portland St. W 98-88 68%     4 - 8 2 - 1 +0.6 +9.3 -9.7
  Jan 05, 2019 272   Sacramento St. W 84-70 67%     5 - 8 3 - 1 +4.8 +4.7 -0.5
  Jan 10, 2019 345   @ Idaho W 77-67 77%     6 - 8 4 - 1 -2.5 -0.9 -1.3
  Jan 14, 2019 194   Northern Colorado L 70-73 50%     6 - 9 4 - 2 -7.8 +0.3 -8.4
  Jan 19, 2019 227   @ Eastern Washington L 81-85 36%     6 - 10 4 - 3 -4.9 +6.0 -10.8
  Jan 24, 2019 212   Weber St. L 84-93 53%     6 - 11 4 - 4 -14.5 +1.1 -14.8
  Jan 26, 2019 324   Idaho St. W 104-84 80%     7 - 11 5 - 4 +6.2 +17.8 -12.1
  Feb 02, 2019 130   Montana L 78-83 33%     7 - 12 5 - 5 -5.0 +3.1 -8.0
  Feb 04, 2019 194   @ Northern Colorado W 69-66 30%     8 - 12 6 - 5 +3.7 -4.4 +8.1
  Feb 07, 2019 227   Eastern Washington W 74-66 57%     9 - 12 7 - 5 +1.5 -7.2 +8.2
  Feb 09, 2019 345   Idaho W 86-72 89%     10 - 12 8 - 5 -4.1 +4.5 -8.2
  Feb 14, 2019 324   @ Idaho St. W 84-76 63%     11 - 12 9 - 5 -0.2 +1.1 -1.5
  Feb 16, 2019 212   @ Weber St. L 82-94 32%     11 - 13 9 - 6 -12.0 +3.8 -15.0
  Feb 23, 2019 130   @ Montana L 83-89 17%     11 - 14 9 - 7 -0.5 +16.6 -17.4
  Mar 02, 2019 300   Northern Arizona W 84-73 72%     12 - 14 10 - 7 +0.1 -3.0 +2.2
  Mar 04, 2019 280   Southern Utah W 90-83 68%     13 - 14 11 - 7 -2.5 +7.8 -10.8
  Mar 07, 2019 272   @ Sacramento St. L 67-70 46%     13 - 15 11 - 8 -6.6 -6.7 +0.2
  Mar 09, 2019 275   @ Portland St. L 80-84 47%     13 - 16 11 - 9 -7.9 +6.8 -14.8
  Mar 13, 2019 345   Idaho W 75-71 84%     14 - 16 -11.3 +1.3 -12.1
  Mar 14, 2019 227   Eastern Washington L 84-90 46%     14 - 17 -9.7 +16.7 -26.9
Projected Record 14.0 - 17.0 11.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 100.0% 100.0
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%